Unemployment Insurance, Welfare and Federal-State Fiscal Interrelations: Final Report
This report examines the hypothesis that unemployment insurance (UI) claimants have been
shifted from the UI program to federally-financed welfare reform programs in order to reduce the
costs of state-financed UI benefits. The cost shifting hypothesis that motivated this study asserts
that a part of UI costs has been shifted to welfare programs through reduced availability of UI
benefits. The driving force behind cost shifting could be either deliberate (or inadvertent) state
actions or evolutionary economic demographic developments affecting UI and welfare caseloads
in opposite directions. This cost shifting purports to explain much of the decline in UI recipiency
observed over the past twenty-five years. Following an analysis that covers both a literature
review and new research, the principal finding can be simply stated: The cost shifting hypothesis
is not supported.
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