In recent years, some economists and policymakers have come to believe that the
federal-state unemployment insurance (UI) system plays an ever-diminishing role
as a stabilizing force in the U.S. economy. This report takes a fresh look at UI's
effectiveness and relative importance as an automatic economic stabilizer.
The report reviews the arguments made by critics of the program, updates
previous quantitative studies of UI's economic stabilization effect, and
introduces a new, expanded model to test the program's effectiveness over
the last 25 years. The report concludes there is no evidence to support
the view that the structure of the economy has changed in any way that
diminishes the effectiveness of the UI program. This conclusion is demonstrated
by the econometric analyses, simulations, and other statistical measurements undertaken
in this study.
Download/View the Executive Summary in .pdf
Download/View the Complete Report in .pdf
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